Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.167073 0.195477 0.226711 0.263530 0.305671 0.352317 0.407779
2025-10-26 0.118145 0.155998 0.202211 0.262419 0.338387 0.430613 0.550568
2025-11-02 0.091304 0.132087 0.185921 0.261397 0.363553 0.495948 0.679253
2025-11-09 0.072659 0.113588 0.171282 0.257244 0.380463 0.548803 0.793784
2025-11-16 0.059278 0.099321 0.159150 0.253171 0.394807 0.597240 0.904551
2025-11-23 0.047987 0.085820 0.145507 0.244036 0.399357 0.630603 0.995223
2025-11-30 0.043923 0.082993 0.147502 0.258429 0.439939 0.719319 1.173560
2025-12-07 0.036683 0.073432 0.137058 0.251182 0.445199 0.754110 1.272178
2025-12-14 0.030684 0.064963 0.127090 0.243110 0.447626 0.783782 1.364109
2025-12-21 0.026095 0.058292 0.119239 0.237465 0.453052 0.818036 1.465215
2025-12-28 0.023466 0.055008 0.117085 0.241633 0.475625 0.882152 1.619973
2026-01-04 0.021696 0.053187 0.117421 0.250340 0.506925 0.963255 1.809008
2026-01-11 0.019664 0.050522 0.115871 0.255496 0.532678 1.037609 1.993679
2026-01-18 0.017608 0.047454 0.113094 0.257923 0.553568 1.105094 2.171680
2026-01-25 0.015576 0.044046 0.109075 0.257215 0.568068 1.161677 2.333607
2026-02-01 0.013579 0.040325 0.103808 0.253147 0.575264 1.204841 2.473456
2026-02-08 0.011862 0.036978 0.098877 0.249135 0.582007 1.247355 2.614648
2026-02-15 0.010093 0.033112 0.092127 0.240132 0.577194 1.266619 2.712170
2026-02-22 0.009782 0.033286 0.095260 0.254317 0.623652 1.391381 3.023867
2026-03-01 0.008448 0.030189 0.089699 0.247174 0.622314 1.418797 3.143787
2026-03-08 0.007259 0.027261 0.084112 0.239220 0.618244 1.440012 3.252240
2026-03-15 0.006323 0.024916 0.079714 0.233656 0.619048 1.471356 3.383261
2026-03-22 0.005845 0.023985 0.079102 0.237764 0.643032 1.554108 3.626760